Key Points
- If Kalshi traders are right, it would be the first month of back-to-back job growth since May 2025.
- Traders aren’t confident of a big beat, though. They assign just a 30% chance the report will come in at 100,000 jobs gained or more.
Kalshi traders see April jobs report coming in better than economists’ estimates
Finance
Traders are doubtful Cohen’s GameStop can pull off monster eBay acquisition
Key Points Traders on prediction markets platform Kalshi give the video game retailer just a 26% chance at successfully completing an acquisition in 2026. GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen in an appearance on “Squawk Box” didn’t disclose further details about how it plans to finance its proposal. Source
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Finance
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz won’t return to normal until August or later, according to Kalshi traders
Key Points Traders think there’s a 59% chance traffic returns to normal by September 1. Odds that happens by August are hovering around 50%. Kalshi defines normal traffic flows on the contract as the 7-day moving average of transit through the strait crossing 60 based on data from IMF PortWatch. Source
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Finance
Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Berkshire, AMD, Circle, FedEx, UPS & more
Check out the companies making the biggest moves in midday trading. Logistics firms — Shares of logistics companies were under pressure after Amazon said it would launch Amazon Supply Chain Services , its own freight, distribution, fulfillment and parcel shipping business. GXO Logistics shed 11%, UPS fell about 10%, while FedEx and C.H. Robinson each […]
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