Bonds
Goldman sees risks rising for a ‘mild’ recession, but not for at least another year
The firm sees “close to no chance” of a recession over the next 12 months, but a 38% probability in the following year. Source
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Treasury yields fall, with inflation data in focus
U.S. Treasury yields fell early on Thursday, with investors focused on the inflation data due out later in the morning. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 3 basis points to 2.3270% at 4:30 a.m. ET. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond moved under a basis point lower to 2.4789%. The rate […]
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Anthony Scaramucci says he’s ‘not quite convinced’ on the recession signal the bond market flashed
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on March 28, 2022, in New York City. Following a positive week for stocks, the Dow Industrial Average was down over 100 points in morning trading. Spencer Platt | Getty Images A key signal of recession flashed in the bond market this week, but […]
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Recession fears tied to Treasury yields are overblown, Canaccord’s Tony Dwyer suggests
Wall Street may be overestimating recession risks. While investors focus on an unnerving inversion between the five-year and 30-year Treasury Note yields, Canaccord Genuity’s Tony Dwyer is concentrating on optimistic activity in another part of the bond market. According to Dwyer, the three-month versus five-year yield shows a healthier picture of the U.S. economy because […]
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The bond market is flashing a warning sign a recession may be coming. Here’s why
A Trader on the floor of the NYSE David Dee Delgado | Getty Images The bond market is flashing a warning sign for the U.S. economy. That harbinger is called an “inverted yield curve.” These inversions in the bond market have been reliable predictors of past recessions. Part of the yield curve inverted on Monday. […]
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Interest rates are rising and bond prices are falling. Here’s what investors can do to prepare
Rising yields and falling bond prices could shake up investors’ portfolios. Here’s how to rethink your asset allocation. Source
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The SEC climate rule: 7 things investors need to know
Gary Gensler, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, at the SEC headquarters in Washington, on July 22, 2021. Melissa Lyttle/Bloomberg via Getty Images The Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday unveiled a sweeping proposal to expand investors’ insight into the threat that climate change poses to public companies and how they contribute to a […]
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The bond market is stoking the debate that a recession is coming, but it may not be
The bond market is signaling a higher chance of recession at the same time it is pricing in more Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Source
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Traders bet on an aggressive Fed and predict half-point rate hikes in May, June
Jerome Powell, Chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, attends the National Association of Business Economicseconomic policy conference in Washington, D.C, United States on March 21, 2022. Yasin Ozturk | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images Traders are betting Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s tough inflation talk means the central bank will step on the throttle to […]
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Russian bond yields spike as trading resumes after month-long pause
Some Russian assets returned to trading on Monday after almost a month on the sidelines, with bidding on OFZ government bonds open for limited hours on the Moscow Exchange. The Central Bank of Russia announced on Friday that trading in federal loan bonds would resume on a discrete auction basis between 10 a.m. and 11 […]
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