CNBC Daily Open: Intensifying Israel-Iran conflict puts investors on shaky ground

CNBC Daily Open: Intensifying Israel-Iran conflict puts investors on shaky ground


A general view of the partially collapsed buildings damaged by some of the ballistic missiles launched by Iran on June 18, 2025, in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Nir Keidar | Anadolu | Getty Images

The conflict between Israel and Iran is intensifying, with both countries not backing down from strikes and their leaders continuing to issue heated rhetoric. The prospect of the United States potentially joining the fray — which Russia warned would cause “a terrible spiral of escalation” — is putting the world on a knife’s edge.

That unease is reflected in the markets. While U.S. exchanges were closed Thursday for a holiday, futures retreated in the evening local time. Across the Atlantic, travel and leisure stocks suffered the most as the Middle East conflict cast a shadow over international aviation.

At the Paris Air Show, however, aircraft manufacturers are still booking billions in orders. Airbus had secured more than $20 billion in deals as of Thursday, according to Reuters calculations. That said, those encouraging numbers may not reflect immediate optimism about the global economy or geopolitics — aircrafts take years to deliver, and both Airbus and Boeing have a backlog of more than 8,000 and 5,000 aircrafts respectively.

Until investors get a clearer sense of whether the U.S. will launch strikes on Iran, markets aren’t likely to find solid ground.

— Yeo Boon Ping

What you need to know today

U.S. futures slip after trading reopens
U.S. futures slipped Thursday evening stateside. Regular trading in the U.S. was closed for the Juneteenth holiday. While, oil prices for both U.S. crude oil rose, international benchmark Brent fell nearly 3%. Asia-Pacific markets rose Friday. China’s CSI 300 added 0.26% at 1:30 p.m. Singapore time, as the country’s central bank kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged.

Meta tried to buy OpenAI co-founder’s startup
Earlier this year, Meta tried to acquire Safe Superintelligence, the artificial intelligence startup launched by OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever, according to sources familiar with the matter. Sutskever turned down Meta and its attempt to hire him, the sources said. But Daniel Gross, the startup’s CEO, and former GitHub CEO Nat Friedman will join Meta as part of Mark Zuckerberg’s deal with NFDG, a venture capital firm both men run.

Inflation in Japan highest in two years
Rice prices in Japan more than doubled in May, spiking 101.7% year over year and marking their largest increase in over half a century. The surge in rice prices comes as Japan’s annual core inflation rate, which excludes fresh food costs, climbed to 3.7% in May, the highest since January 2023 and more than the 3.6% expected by economists polled by Reuters.

Labubu-maker’s shares slump
Hong Kong-listed shares of Pop Mart, the toymaker behind the smash hit Labubu, continued to tumble Friday. Pop Mart first gained popularity with its “blind box” concept, a business model criticized by People’s Daily, the Chinese Communist Party’s official newspaper, on Friday. Morgan Stanley said in a note late Wednesday it was replacing Pop Mart with insurance company PICC P&C in the firm’s China and Hong Kong focus list.

Airbus stole the show in Paris
Airbus dominated the order books at the Paris Air Show. The European aircraft manufacturer had racked up nearly $21 billion of orders as of Thursday morning, per a Reuters calculation. That included 132 firm orders on Monday, from customers including Saudi leasing firm AviLease, Japan’s ANA and Poland’s LOT, versus 41 for Boeing and 15 for Brazil’s Embraer, according to a tally by aviation advisory IBA.

[PRO] Berkshire stocks drop without Buffett
Warren Buffett once predicted that Berkshire Hathaway stock would rise when he eventually steps down. So far, the opposite has happened. Since May 3, when the “Oracle of Omaha” announced his plans to hand over the reins, Berkshire stock has lost more than 10%, underperforming the S&P 500 by about 15 percentage points. Some think it could fall even more.

And finally…

A Lenskart shop in Kolkata, India.

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images



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