U.S. stocks show little reaction to Trump’s extraordinary Venezuela action. Why investors see a bull case

Key Points

Historically speaking, geopolitical shocks have had little lasting impact on the stock market.
A review of the last 11 major geopolitical events showed that the S&P 500 on average was just 0.3% lower one week after the event, and 7.7% higher 12 months later, according to UBS.
Investors do not expect the attack to escalate any further, in part because of Trump’s prior criticisms of conflicts drawn out in Iran and Afghanistan.

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