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Election prediction markets are in a sprint to prove themselves as forecasting and investing tools
Traders, gamblers and politicos now have new tools to express their views this election cycle in the form of event contracts, but the new markets still need to win over Wall Street power players and the legal system to become investment stars. Kalshi and Interactive Brokers launched presidential election contracts this month on their nascent […]
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S&P 500 grinds higher to further record highs, finding little to fear in October
Going looking for ghosts in October isn’t a great way to see one, as it turns out. At least so far. The prevailing sense among investors and market handicappers entering the month was to expect choppy, irresolute action full of potential scares. As with most consensus beliefs, this one was plausible. This time of year […]
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Hedge funds do an about-face on the China trade, selling stocks in record numbers
Hedge funds that recently flocked into Chinese stocks on stimulus hopes just did a 180. Professional traders posted the largest single-day net selling of Chinese securities, both onshore and offshore, on Tuesday, according to Goldman Sachs’ prime brokerage data. The net selling was 1.4 times larger than the previous record, Goldman said. The record exodus […]
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Ray Dalio says investing in China is tricky as Beijing becomes less favorable toward capitalism
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio thinks it’s still tricky to invest in China right now as Beijing may be seeking to structurally move the country away from capitalism. The founder of Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s largest hedge funds, said investors should take a nuanced and cautious approach to investing in the developing region as […]
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Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%
After more than two years of collective hand-wringing on Wall Street over the possibility that the U.S. economy could tank at a moment’s notice, Goldman Sachs has news: There is no better chance now of a recession than there is under any other normal circumstances. The bank’s economists over the weekend lowered their recession probability […]
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India has emerged as one of the best global markets for the long haul. Here are the drivers—and how to play the rally
India’s recent stock market surge has investors viewing the country as an emerging market poised for long-term outperformance. The India NSE Nifty 50 Index , the country’s domestic stock market benchmark, has soared 18.7% this year, hitting record levels. The iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) , which tracks the Indian market, is also up nearly […]
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David Tepper’s big bet after the Fed rate cut was to buy ‘everything’ related to China
Billionaire hedge fund founder David Tepper said his big bet after the Federal Reserve’s rate cut was to buy Chinese stocks. “We got a little bit longer, more Chinese stocks,” Tepper told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. “And so, I have limits, historic limits. I probably said a long time ago, I don’t go above […]
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Value investor Bill Nygren looking outside of crowded megacap tech, adds cheap financial stock
Longtime value investor Bill Nygren warned that the popular benchmark S & P 500 is not as diversified as it used to be, and he is picking cheap stocks outside the dominant tech sector. Nygren, portfolio manager at Oakmark Funds for 40 years, said the technology sector has grown so powerful in the S & […]
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What Warren Buffett’s recent moves say – and don’t say – about today’s market
When the man who’s built the greatest fortune in history from investing alone – and whose preferred holding period is “forever” – becomes a resolute seller of two of the most widely held stocks in the world, the questions about what it means for the market and economy are inevitable. And so it is with […]
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DoubleLine’s Gundlach says the Fed needs to cut rates quickly, sees a half-point reduction Wednesday
DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said Tuesday that the Federal Reserve needs to ease policy swiftly amid the current economic slowdown, seeing a half-point interest-rate reduction this week. “The Fed just follows the two-year Treasury and the two-year Treasury is down at 3.6% so the Fed needs to cut rates [by] 150 [basis points] pretty quickly,” Gundlach […]
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