Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates

Prediction markets will grow to trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates

Key Points

Investment firm Bernstein estimates that by 2030, prediction market volumes will surge to roughly $1 trillion.
Dollar volumes on the markets surged in 2024, spurred by the U.S. presidential election, then expanded further in 2025 thanks to sports, crypto and macro/political contracts.
While a regulatory battle is brewing, Bernstein thinks it’s unlikely to deter long-term growth.

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