Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman sees 50-50 odds of recession ahead

Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman sees 50-50 odds of recession ahead


Morgan Stanley Chairman and Chief Executive James Gorman speaks during the Institute of International Finance Annual Meeting in Washington, October 10, 2014.

Joshua Roberts | Reuters

The odds of a recession may be climbing as the Federal Reserve wrangles with inflation, but it’s unlikely to be a deep one, according to Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman.

“We’re unlikely at this stage to go into a deep or long recession,” Gorman said Monday at a financial conference held by his New York-based bank. “It’s possible we go into recession, obviously, probably 50-50 odds now,” he said.

Bank executives have raised alarms about the economy recently as the Fed raises rates and reverses quantitative easing programs. Rival CEO Jamie Dimon said he predicted a “hurricane” ahead due to central banks and the Ukraine conflict.

But Gorman expressed confidence that the Fed would eventually be able to bring inflation down from its multi-decade highs.

“I don’t think we’re falling into some massive hole over the next few years, I think eventually the Fed will get hold of inflation,” he said. “You know that it’s going to be bumpy; people’s 401(k) plans are going to be down this year.”

This story is developing. Please check back for updates.



Source

Nvidia-backed  billion AI startup announces major London expansion
World

Nvidia-backed $4 billion AI startup announces major London expansion

Nvidia-backed video generation startup Luma AI is joining a growing wave of U.S. tech companies launching operations in the U.K., with major plans for a London expansion revealed on Tuesday. The Palo Alto-headquartered startup will look to hire around 200 employees — making up around 40% of its workforce — at its new London base […]

Read More
Euro zone inflation up a notch to 2.2% in November, flash data shows
World

Euro zone inflation up a notch to 2.2% in November, flash data shows

A Christmas market in Cottbus, Germany. Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images Euro zone inflation stood at 2.2% in November, marking a slight rise from the previous month, flash data from data agency Eurostat showed Tuesday. The latest consumer price index reading is just a shade above the European Central Bank’s 2% target. […]

Read More
Why China’s real estate market is still searching for a bottom
World

Why China’s real estate market is still searching for a bottom

China’s housing market is flashing fresh warning signs as the property downturn runs into its fifth year, with excess inventory dragging home prices. Sales of the top 100 developers plunged 36% in terms of value in November from a year earlier, despite a modest pick-up from a 42% decline in October, according to data published […]

Read More