IEA trims oil demand forecast for the 1st time this calendar year on ‘persistent’ financial headwinds

IEA trims oil demand forecast for the 1st time this calendar year on ‘persistent’ financial headwinds


Two huge oil tankers unload at the 300,000-ton crude oil terminal in Yantai Port, Shandong Province, China, July 9, 2023.

Potential Publishing | Long term Publishing | Getty Visuals

The Global Vitality Agency on Thursday lower its world oil desire growth forecast for the very first time this yr, largely citing a worsening economic outlook that weighs “specially major” on rich countries.

The world’s primary strength watchdog stated world wide oil demand is now on track to climb by 2.2 million barrels for each working day in 2023 to get to an normal of 102.1 million barrels for every working day.

China is set to account for 70% of the desire development improve, the IEA said.

This forecast nevertheless represents a downward revision of 220,000 barrels for each day from previous month’s report, when the IEA predicted an improve of 2.4 million barrels for every working day of globally growth.

“Persistent macroeconomic headwinds, apparent in a deepening production slump, have led us to revise our 2023 growth estimate decrease for the first time this 12 months,” the IEA claimed in its newest regular oil market report released on Thursday.

“Globe oil desire is coming below stress from the challenging financial natural environment, not minimum mainly because of the spectacular tightening of monetary plan in several advanced and acquiring nations more than the past twelve months,” the agency added.

On the lookout ahead to future yr, the IEA expects need growth to sluggish to 1.1 million barrels for each working day, “as the restoration loses momentum and as at any time-larger car fleet electrification and performance measures acquire maintain.”

The IEA previous month reported that international demand from customers will trickle practically to a halt in the coming yrs and peak in advance of the end of the 10 years as the transition absent from fossil fuels gathers speed.

The Thursday report comes at a time when current U.S. inflation and economic data renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve may well be closing in on an end to its rate climbing cycle.

Oil charges traded a little higher on Thursday morning, extending gains thirty day period-to-date.

Brent crude futures with September expiry had been up all over .4% at $80.42 a barrel at around 9 a.m. London time, even though U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures with August supply rose .3% to trade at $75.98 a barrel.



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