IEA downgrades oil need expansion forecast as costs heat up on elevated Middle East tensions

IEA downgrades oil need expansion forecast as costs heat up on elevated Middle East tensions


An oil pumpjack is proven around the Callon Petroleum vicinity on March 27, 2024 in Monahans, Texas. 

Brandon Bell | Getty Visuals

The Intercontinental Strength Company on Friday downgraded its forecast for 2024 oil desire growth, citing “extremely weak” OECD deliveries, a mainly complete article-Covid-19 rebound and an expanding electrical motor vehicle fleet.

In its hottest every month oil marketplace report, the IEA mentioned it had revised down its 2024 oil desire advancement forecast by all-around 100,000 barrels for every day (bpd) to 1.2 million bpd.

The world wide vitality watchdog claimed that it anticipated the rate of growth to decelerate even even more to 1.1 million bpd future yr “as the post-Covid 19 rebound has operate its program.”

The IEA’s report comes amid a rebound in oil price ranges on elevated Middle East tensions, with electricity market place participants intently checking the prospect of source disruptions from the oil-creating area.

Iran, which is a member of the Group of the Petroleum Exporting Nations, has vowed to retaliate soon after it accused Israel of bombing its embassy in the Syrian funds of Damascus previously this thirty day period.

The assault has ratcheted up tensions in a region currently grappling with the ongoing Israel-Hamas war. Israel has not claimed accountability for the assault.

Intercontinental benchmark Brent crude futures with June shipping traded .8% bigger at $90.42 for every barrel on Friday early morning in London, when U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with May well shipping rose .9% to trade at $85.76 for every barrel.

“Escalating oil offer stability issues are set against a backdrop of strong world-wide oil need growth of 1.6 mb/d in the initial quarter and a much more upbeat outlook for the world-wide overall economy,” the IEA said in the report.

“Globe oil demand from customers expansion has nevertheless been revised down by around 100 kb/d because very last month’s Report, to 1.2 mb/d, following extremely weak deliveries in the OECD at the start out of the 12 months,” the electricity company included.



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