Delta outlook tops estimates as CEO expects 2025 to be airline’s ‘best financial year in our history’

Delta Air Lines‘ first-quarter outlook on Friday topped analyst expectations as the carrier forecast strong travel demand to start the year, which CEO Ed Bastian said will likely be the carrier’s best ever.

Delta said it expects to generate more than $4 billion in free cash this year, up 18% from 2024 and in the mid-point of its annual target of between $3 billion and $5 billion. For the full year, it expects annual adjusted earnings more than of $7.35 per share.

“We feel quite good coming into the new year,” Bastian told CNBC. “Everywhere, we see consumers continue to prioritize experience over goods.”

That is setting up Delta for “our best financial year in our history,” Bastian added.

Here’s how the company performed in the three months ended Dec. 31 compared with Wall Street expectations based on consensus estimates from LSEG:

• Earnings per share: $1.85 adjusted vs. $1.75 expected
• Revenue: $14.44 billion adjusted vs. $14.18 billion expected

Delta said it expects revenue to rise 7% to 9%, ahead of the roughly 5% growth analysts polled by LSEG had forecast. The carrier expects first-quarter earnings of between 70 cents and $1, slightly ahead of Wall Street predictions of between 65 cents and 97 cents.

The Atlanta-based airline is the first major U.S. airline to report earnings this quarter. Carriers have enjoyed strong post-pandemic travel demand, which analysts said is likely to continue this year, with a few deals along the way for consumers.

Delta has said it’s been capitalizing on a trend toward premium travel as more customers shell out for roomier seats or rewards credit cards.

Delta’s American Express partnership brought in $2 billion in the fourth quarter, up 14% from the year-earlier period. Revenue from premium seats, such as first class and premium economy, rose 8% in the fourth quarter to $5.2 billion compared with a 2% rise in main cabin ticket revenue to about $6 billion.

Unit revenue, a measure of how much revenue an airline is bringing in for how much it flies, rose 4% in the fourth quarter from 2023.

Delta’s profit fell 59% to $843 million in the last three months of the year from the same period of 2023 as expenses, including payroll, rose 7% or $942 million. Revenue rose 9% to $15.6 billion from a year-earlier.

Adjusting for one-time items, Delta posted per-share earnings of $1.85 in the fourth quarter, on adjusted revenue of $14.44 billion, both ahead of analysts’ estimates.