Chipotle trims same-store sales forecast as fewer diners visit its restaurants

Chipotle trims same-store sales forecast as fewer diners visit its restaurants


A Chipotle restaurant in San Francisco on Jan. 31, 2025.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Chipotle Mexican Grill on Wednesday cut its forecast for same-store sales growth this year after traffic declined for a second straight quarter.

The burrito chain now anticipates flat same-store sales growth for 2025, down from its prior projection of a low-single digit percentage increase. Chipotle trimmed its same-store sales outlook for the second consecutive quarter.

Here’s what the company reported for its second quarter compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: 33 cents adjusted, in line with expectations
  • Revenue: $3.06 billion vs. $3.11 billion expected

Chipotle’s net sales rose 3% to $3.06 billion, thanks to its new restaurants. But the company’s same-store sales shrank 4%, steeper than last quarter’s decline of 0.4% and StreetAccount estimates of a 2.9% decrease for the second quarter. Average check increased roughly 1%, partially offsetting traffic declines of 4.9%.

Last year, Chipotle outpaced the rest of the restaurant industry, bucking a trend of sluggish sales and traffic declines. But by the end of December, the company started seeing softer sales, which executives chalked up to the timing of Christmas and New Year’s Eve. Then came bad weather in January, including wildfires in California, and a broader consumer pullback in February.

During the company’s first-quarter earnings call, CEO Scott Boatwright said diners’ concerns about the economy led them to skip restaurant visits and save their money instead.

Chipotle reported second-quarter net income of $436.1 million, or 32 cents per share, down from $455.7 million, or 33 cents per share, a year earlier.

Excluding impairment charges, legal costs and other items, the company earned 33 cents per share.

Chipotle reiterated its forecast that it would open between 315 and 345 new restaurants this year.

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