Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan said Wednesday that consumers are continuing to spend and economic growth should be solid though slower this year.
Despite surveys indicating that confidence is at a nearly three-year low amid increasing worries about inflation, Moynihan told CNBC that spending data shows consumers are still shelling out money, though shifting away from goods and into services.
“We’re in this classic moment … where the consumer is saying, ‘I’m getting more pessimistic,’ in some of the surveys and things like that,” he said during a “Squawk Box” interview. “But if you actually look what they’re doing day to day, they continue to spend, which means the economy ought to be holding up better than people think.”
From a numbers standpoint, that means gross domestic product growth this year of closer to 2% from recent trends closer to 3%, according to the banking chief. Some of the slowdown will come from President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which Moynihan estimated will cut about 0.4 percentage point off growth in the near term before the economy adjusts.
However, he called the 2% level “trend growth. That’s what we’ve all been trying to get to for 10 or 15 years after the financial crisis.”
“We see the consumer continue to be solid, and that should bode well for the economy,” Moynihan added. “There’s a lot of questions out there, and I think that will sort through. But right now, we’re not talking about what could happen, we’re talking about is happening. The consumer continues to spend pretty strongly for the first part of this year.”
Fed outlook
The interview came the same day that the Federal Reserve will issue its latest decision on interest rates. Markets give almost no chance to a reduction at the meeting, and Moynihan backed up the bank’s call that not only will the central bank not move Wednesday, but it also will be on hold through 2026.
“I would think, though that the Fed would be a little cautious about cutting, not knowing what the impact of tariffs is going to be,” he said. “It would seem that maybe they’d want to hold on to the firepower that they’ve built up over the last year or so. … They shouldn’t be premature to try to boost the economy when it’s growing at 2%.”
Moynihan added that it would be better to keep a “real interest rate” that was closer to 3% than the near zero that was prevalent from the financial crisis into the Covid pandemic.