Affirm shares drop 13% on weak forecast, concerns over CEO’s bet on 0% loans

Affirm shares drop 13% on weak forecast, concerns over CEO’s bet on 0% loans


Max Levchin, co-founder of PayPal and chief executive officer of financial technology company Affirm, arrives at the Sun Valley Resort for the annual Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, in Sun Valley, Idaho.

Drew Angerer | Getty Images

Affirm shares plunged on Friday after the fintech company issued a weak forecast, and investors questioned CEO Max Levchin’s plan to go big in 0% loans.

The buy now, pay later lender said revenue this quarter will be between $815 million and $845 million. The midpoint of the range was short of the $841 million average analyst estimate, according to LSEG.

Levchin, who founded the company in 2012, is trying to bolster growth with 0% loans, a strategy he says gets consumers in the door and potentially turns them into long-time customers. Levchin told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” that it’s a way to build customer loyalty, even if it means sacrificing margins today.

“We are helping people understand that not paying interest, revolving interest, excessively is a good thing,” he said. “We’re taking share from credit cards.”

Those loans now make up 13% of Affirm’s total Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), with 80% coming from prime and super-prime customers. Affirm’s core business involves issuing point-of-sale installment loans to consumers buying items like apparel, electronics and sporting goods.

Affirm CEO Max Levchin: The economy appears to be on solid footing right now

While GMV topped analysts’ estimates, Affirm’s revenue less transaction costs (RLTC) missed the Street’s expectations, in part due to the surge in 0% APR loans. For the quarter, the company beat on earnings and delivered revenue that was inline with estimates.

Analysts at Citizens maintained their market outperform rating on the stock, but noted in a report that the increase in 0% loans “led to a lower take rate and RLTC margin than most forecasts.” And analysts at BTIG, who have a buy rating on the stock, wrote that “Affirm shares are down precisely because the RLTC/take-rate weakness wasn’t offset by more rapid GMV growth.”

Levchin said that despite economic uncertainty, consumers are continuing to spend and that Affirm’s credit performance remains “solid” and “consistent.”

“People are stressed out about the economy, yet they’re shopping, they’re buying, and they’re paying their bills — at least they’re paying their bills back to us on time,” he said.

With Friday’s slide, Affirm shares are down about 22% for the year, while the Nasdaq is off about 7%.

Some analysts remain bullish. Susquehanna, Bank of America, and TD Cowen all upgraded the stock or raised price targets due to what they see as growth potential.

Read more about tech and crypto from CNBC Pro

Goldman Sachs maintained a buy rating on Affirm, calling it a “strong category leader in BNPL and a share gainer vs. legacy credit providers.”

Barclays, which has the equivalent of a buy rating, called the quarter a “solid print” despite high investor expectations. The firm cautioned that the stock could see short-term underperformance, but is bullish on new partnerships, like a recent agreement with Costco.

Levchin emphasized the importance of playing the long game.

“It took consumers and merchants and sort of the universe about a decade to figure out what we are and just how different and important what we have found to work really is,” he told CNBC.

WATCH: Affirm Holdings falls more than 10% despite surprise beat

Affirm Holdings falls more than 10% despite surprise beat



Source

Trump says he talked to Apple CEO Tim Cook after China tariff rollback
Technology

Trump says he talked to Apple CEO Tim Cook after China tariff rollback

Apple CEO Tim Cook, center, watches during the inauguration ceremonies for President Donald Trump, right, and Vice President JD Vance, left, in the rotunda of the U.S. Capitol in Washington, Jan. 20, 2025. Shawn Thew | Afp | Getty Images President Donald Trump said Monday that he talked to Apple CEO Tim Cook after the […]

Read More
Eric Trump’s American Bitcoin going public in latest crypto move by president’s family
Technology

Eric Trump’s American Bitcoin going public in latest crypto move by president’s family

The bitcoin mining company backed by President Donald Trump’s sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., is set to go public on the Nasdaq through an all-stock merger with Gryphon Digital Mining. Shares of Gryphon were up more than 300% Monday. The combined company, American Bitcoin, will trade under the ticker symbol “ABTC,” with the […]

Read More
KindlyMD shares skyrocket 600% after merger with Trump crypto advisor David Bailey’s bitcoin investment company
Technology

KindlyMD shares skyrocket 600% after merger with Trump crypto advisor David Bailey’s bitcoin investment company

People walk past an advertisement feature Donald Trump with Bitcoin in Hong Kong.  May James | Lightrocket | Getty Images Shares of KindlyMD skyrocketed 600% Monday after the healthcare company announced a merger with Nakamoto Holdings, a bitcoin investment company founded by David Bailey, a key cryptocurrency advisor to President Donald Trump. The newly formed […]

Read More