Affirm shares drop 13% on weak forecast, concerns over CEO’s bet on 0% loans

Affirm shares drop 13% on weak forecast, concerns over CEO’s bet on 0% loans


Max Levchin, co-founder of PayPal and chief executive officer of financial technology company Affirm, arrives at the Sun Valley Resort for the annual Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference, in Sun Valley, Idaho.

Drew Angerer | Getty Images

Affirm shares plunged on Friday after the fintech company issued a weak forecast, and investors questioned CEO Max Levchin’s plan to go big in 0% loans.

The buy now, pay later lender said revenue this quarter will be between $815 million and $845 million. The midpoint of the range was short of the $841 million average analyst estimate, according to LSEG.

Levchin, who founded the company in 2012, is trying to bolster growth with 0% loans, a strategy he says gets consumers in the door and potentially turns them into long-time customers. Levchin told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” that it’s a way to build customer loyalty, even if it means sacrificing margins today.

“We are helping people understand that not paying interest, revolving interest, excessively is a good thing,” he said. “We’re taking share from credit cards.”

Those loans now make up 13% of Affirm’s total Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV), with 80% coming from prime and super-prime customers. Affirm’s core business involves issuing point-of-sale installment loans to consumers buying items like apparel, electronics and sporting goods.

Affirm CEO Max Levchin: The economy appears to be on solid footing right now

While GMV topped analysts’ estimates, Affirm’s revenue less transaction costs (RLTC) missed the Street’s expectations, in part due to the surge in 0% APR loans. For the quarter, the company beat on earnings and delivered revenue that was inline with estimates.

Analysts at Citizens maintained their market outperform rating on the stock, but noted in a report that the increase in 0% loans “led to a lower take rate and RLTC margin than most forecasts.” And analysts at BTIG, who have a buy rating on the stock, wrote that “Affirm shares are down precisely because the RLTC/take-rate weakness wasn’t offset by more rapid GMV growth.”

Levchin said that despite economic uncertainty, consumers are continuing to spend and that Affirm’s credit performance remains “solid” and “consistent.”

“People are stressed out about the economy, yet they’re shopping, they’re buying, and they’re paying their bills — at least they’re paying their bills back to us on time,” he said.

With Friday’s slide, Affirm shares are down about 22% for the year, while the Nasdaq is off about 7%.

Some analysts remain bullish. Susquehanna, Bank of America, and TD Cowen all upgraded the stock or raised price targets due to what they see as growth potential.

Read more about tech and crypto from CNBC Pro

Goldman Sachs maintained a buy rating on Affirm, calling it a “strong category leader in BNPL and a share gainer vs. legacy credit providers.”

Barclays, which has the equivalent of a buy rating, called the quarter a “solid print” despite high investor expectations. The firm cautioned that the stock could see short-term underperformance, but is bullish on new partnerships, like a recent agreement with Costco.

Levchin emphasized the importance of playing the long game.

“It took consumers and merchants and sort of the universe about a decade to figure out what we are and just how different and important what we have found to work really is,” he told CNBC.

WATCH: Affirm Holdings falls more than 10% despite surprise beat

Affirm Holdings falls more than 10% despite surprise beat



Source

Here are 3 major moments that drove the stock market last week
Technology

Here are 3 major moments that drove the stock market last week

A massive market snapback on Friday couldn’t erase all of the week’s damage. After several days of selling, the tech sector roared back, with the Nasdaq gaining over 2% on Friday. Chipmakers Nvidia and Broadcom led the way, with gains of 7.8% and 7.2%, respectively. The broad-based S & P 500 rose nearly 2% in […]

Read More
Nearly a thousand Google workers sign letter urging company to divest from ICE, CBP
Technology

Nearly a thousand Google workers sign letter urging company to divest from ICE, CBP

The logo for Google LLC is seen at the Google Store Chelsea in Manhattan, New York, Nov. 17, 2021. Andrew Kelly | Reuters More than 900 Google workers have signed an open letter condemning recent actions by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection (CBP), urging the tech giant to disclose […]

Read More
Elon Musk wants to be a trillionaire — here’s how SpaceX may get him there
Technology

Elon Musk wants to be a trillionaire — here’s how SpaceX may get him there

Elon Musk’s journey to becoming the world’s first trillionaire will likely be powered by rockets rather than cars, as SpaceX now accounts for nearly two-thirds of the Tesla CEO’s wealth. Musk became the first person ever to top the $800 billion mark this week, with his net worth now around $845 billion, according to Forbes. […]

Read More