10-year Treasury yield shoots above 4.6% after hot CPI report

10-year Treasury yield shoots above 4.6% after hot CPI report


The consumer price index rose 0.5% in January, and is up 3.0% over the last 12 months, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were expecting a monthly rise of 0.3% and a 2.9% increase year over year.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.4% for the month and 3.3% over 12 months. Economists had penciled in core price increases of 0.3% in January and 3.1% year over year, according to Dow Jones.

The hot inflation report could push expectations of the next Federal Reserve rate cut further into the future. The Federal Open Market Committee chose to keep rates unchanged last month after cutting in the previous three meetings.

“Today’s stronger than expected CPI release is likely to further cement the FOMC’s cautious approach to easing,” Whitney Watson, global co-head and co-chief investment officer of fixed income and liquidity solutions within Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said in a statement.

On Tuesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell appeared before the Senate Banking Committee, and said the central bank “doesn’t need to be in a hurry” to cut interest rates further.

“We know that reducing policy restraint too fast or too much could hinder progress on inflation. At the same time, reducing policy restraint too slowly or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment,” Powell said.

Powell will again speak before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday.

The producer price index will be published on Thursday.

Investors are also grappling with the potential impact of tariffs, as U.S. President Donald Trump signed anĀ order on Monday to add a 25% duty on steel and aluminum imports.



Source

Automatic U.S. military draft registration planned by December, filing shows
World

Automatic U.S. military draft registration planned by December, filing shows

The sticker ‘U.S. Army’ seen on a soldier uniform from the 1st Infantry Division, during a military training at Nowa Deba training ground, in Nowa Deba, Poland, on April 12 2023. Artur Widak | Nurphoto | Getty Images The Selective Service System plans to automatically register eligible American men between ages 18 and 26 for […]

Read More
Inflation held sticky at 3% as U.S. headed into war with Iran, key Fed gauge shows
World

Inflation held sticky at 3% as U.S. headed into war with Iran, key Fed gauge shows

Core inflation held above the Federal Reserve’s target before the recent surge in energy prices, according to a key gauge released Thursday that offers the central bank a snapshot of conditions leading into the Iran war. The core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy, rose a seasonally adjusted 3% in February, […]

Read More
Volatility is the ‘new norm’ for government bonds as interest rate uncertainty sees yields whipsaw
World

Volatility is the ‘new norm’ for government bonds as interest rate uncertainty sees yields whipsaw

European government bonds reversed course on Thursday, moving higher after plunging during the previous session, as a fragile Middle East ceasefire keeps markets on edge. Bond traders are grappling with unusually high levels of volatility, which is clouding the outlook for interest rate policies at the Bank of England and European Central Bank. Yields on […]

Read More